NZD/USD jumps 1% on Thursday, extending gains for a second consecutive day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a hawkish rate hike on Wednesday, while a softer US Dollar (USD) provides additional support.
ING’s Warren Patterson notes that European natural gas prices have held up better than Oil as LNG supply recovery has been modest and Middle East flows remain disrupted. Heatwaves have boosted demand, leaving EU storage just above 50%, well below the five-year average.
USD/JPY trades lower near the 162.30 area on Thursday, retreating from recent highs as the Japanese Yen (JPY) recovers some ground. The US Dollar (USD) fails to receive support from stronger-than-expected United States (US) labor market data.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, is down 0.14% to 100.93 as tensions in the Middle East ease, driving Oil prices lower and trimming Fed hawkish bets spurred by the energy shock.
DJIA trades near 52,480, higher by around 0.28%, clawing back only a sliver of Wednesday's Gulf-driven rout.
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay argues that elevated South Korean inflation strengthens the case for a 25bp Bank of Korea (BoK) hike to 2.75% on 16 July.
Silver (XAG/USD) snaps a three-day losing streak on Thursday as a mildly weaker US Dollar (USD) and a pullback in US Treasury yields lend support to the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $60.30, up 3.38% on the day.
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the New York Fed’s latest Liberty Street Economics analysis warns many United States (US) firms still plan tariff-related price increases, implying persistent inflation pressures that matter for the US Dollar (USD) and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.
AUD/USD trades around 0.6940 on Thursday at the time of writing, up 0.16% on the day, as the weaker US Dollar (USD) supports the pair despite persistent tensions in the Middle East.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is flat on Thursday but modestly firmer versus the US Dollar (USD) this week, making it a mild outperformer.
GBP/USD trades higher near the 1.3400 area on Thursday, as the US Dollar (USD) fails to find support from stronger-than-expected United States (US) jobless claims data and hawkish signals in the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes.
Chinese investors sharply trimmed their Gold ETF holdings in June, exacerbating global outflows for the month, as local investor risk appetite continued to improve amid equity market gains and a weaker Gold price, data from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows.
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich argues that the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to continue tightening policy, with the outlook heavily dependent on Middle East developments and energy prices.
Gold (XAU/USD) firms on Thursday as a mildly softer US Dollar (USD) and a modest pullback in US Treasury yields help the precious metal recover some ground after three consecutive days of losses.
DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow warns that shorter-term Singapore Dollar (SGD) rates may face upside pressure despite recent flush liquidity. He notes SGD rates have decoupled from USD rates, with spreads stretched, while Fed hike expectations remain sticky and the USD strong.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that after a prior rise in USD/CNH, upward momentum has now faded, with the pair expected to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100 in the near term.
EUR/USD holds modest gains on Thursday, supported by some softness in the US Dollar (USD) as markets assess renewed hostilities in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1444, up 0.25% on the day.
Christopher Wong notes that Korean Won strength remains largely flow-driven, with USD/KRW dropping below 1,500 on offshore fund repatriation and official vigilance.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said in the Future of Market Liquidity and Functioning Workshop in New York on Thursday that inflation remains “far too high,” while stressing that policymakers are actively debating different inflation scenarios as energy prices, artifi
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has trimmed its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.0%, with uneven impacts across energy exporters, tech economies and low-income importers, influencing global equities.
USD/CAD trades around 1.4170 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as weakness in the US Dollar (USD) offsets the negative impact of lower Oil prices on the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
ABN AMRO’s Rogier Quaedvlieg highlights that US labour-market conditions are weaker than headline unemployment suggests, as rapidly declining participation is holding the rate down.
DBS Group Research economist Sherilyn Chew notes that renewed geopolitical risk has lifted yields across Asia, but sees Indian G-Secs as offering a tactical opportunity. She argues the India sell-off is mainly macro repricing, with domestic fundamentals and structural demand intact.
ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder note that the Federal Reserve’s June minutes confirmed a more hawkish stance despite an unchanged policy rate.
TD Securities strategists highlight that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes showed rising concern over inflation risks, even as the United States (US) labor market remains stable.
USD/JPY trades slightly lower on Thursday as a mildly softer US Dollar (USD) lends support to the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 162.45, hovering near 40-year highs.
Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon highlights that Czech National Bank policy expectations have risen alongside the ECB, yet the Czech Koruna is sliding on a nominal effective basis.
The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks.
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen notes that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes confirmed a hawkish hold, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an even split between members favoring unchanged or lower rates and those preferring hikes.
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending July 4.
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