USD/CHF registers solid gains on Wednesday, with buyers reclaiming the 0.8100 figure amid a trading session in which the Greenback loses ground against most G8 FX currencies but posts gains versus the safe-haven status of the Swiss Franc. The pair trades at 0.8146, up more than 0.20%.
EUR/JPY trades marginally higher near the 186.20 area on Wednesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure near multi-decade lows. The Euro (EUR) is relatively stable as investors avoid taking large positions ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy announcement.
Gold price (XAU/USD) surges over 1.50% on Wednesday, cracks a key resistance trendline and hits a new two-week high as the Greenback weakens. This Bullion price action comes despite rising tensions and hostilities between the US and Iran.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades with modest gains on Wednesday, supported by a slight pullback in the US Dollar (USD). However, the metal lacks strong upside momentum as traders weigh energy-driven inflation risks and their impact on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook.
EUR/GBP edges higher on Wednesday as a mixed UK inflation report weighs modestly on the British Pound (GBP). At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8533, extending its recovery after falling to its lowest level in more than a year earlier this month.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near 52,400 on Wednesday, up around 200 points and on track for a second consecutive daily gain, while the S&P 500 hugs the flatline and the NASDAQ Composite slips into the red.
The Pound Sterling holds firm during the North American session as UK inflation data dipped, easing pressure on the Bank of England to tackle higher prices, while attacks between the US and Iran don’t seem to be ending in the Middle East. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3377.
USD/CAD edges lower on Wednesday as a mildly softer US Dollar (USD) and rising Oil prices help the Canadian Dollar (CAD) snap a two-day losing streak. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4085, down 0.16% on the day.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5815 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.16% on the day.
Standard Chartered economists Carol Liao and Shuang Ding argue that China’s July Politburo meeting will prioritise implementation of existing fiscal plans over new stimulus. They expect fiscal execution to accelerate in H2 after a marked slowdown following front-loaded Q1 spending.
AUD/USD trades near 0.7000 on Wednesday, recovering from an intraday pullback but remaining marginally lower on the day. The pair briefly fell toward 0.6985 before rebounding, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped toward 101.10, helping the Australian Dollar regain some ground.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) gives up earlier gains on Wednesday, failing to capitalize on hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and a softer US Dollar (USD) as Middle East tensions keep markets on edge.
ING analysts discuss changes to US Section 232 aluminium tariffs aimed at incentivizing domestic smelting investment. Qualifying projects can import at 25% instead of 50%, but ING stresses this is a long-term industrial policy with limited near-term impact.
Rabobank’s FX Strategy team reviews Bank of Japan policy, noting that the slow rate-hike pace reflects exceptional shocks such as tariffs, war and domestic political changes.
TD Securities strategists expect modest US Dollar (USD) strength in Q3 2026 as positioning has room to rebuild.
EUR/USD trades around 1.1415 at the time of writing on Wednesday, up 0.15% on the day, but its recovery remains limited after failing to break above 1.1420.
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials are reported open to raising rates faster than economists expected as Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness lifts inflation risks.
US President Donald Trump issued a fresh warning to Iran on Wednesday, threatening strikes on the country’s infrastructure if Tehran targets vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
WTI extends its rebound on Wednesday as rising tensions in the Middle East disrupt Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $86.20 after reaching an intraday high of $87.83, its highest level since June 11.
Nomura strategists analyse the latest United Kingdom (UK) June inflation data, noting headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.6% as the Bank of England expected, but core and services inflation stayed sticky.
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky reports the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) cut rates to 5.75% and confirmed dovish guidance, signaling further easing in August and possibly beyond. Markets have accepted renewed rate-cut pricing, and ING expects more dovish repricing.
Societe Generale economist Sam Cartwright analyzes June United Kingdom (UK) inflation, noting headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 2.6% year-on-year, below Bank of England (BoE) projections, with core inflation steady at 2.6%.
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that India’s central bank (RBI) has stepped in to support the Indian Rupee (INR) as rising energy costs threaten external balances and FX volatility. iFlow shows INR is currently underheld versus earlier in the year.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) shows moderate losses on Wednesday but has retraced most of the decline seen during the Asian trading session.
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs to a two-week high on Wednesday as bargain hunters step in near the $4,000 mark, while traders weigh Middle East risks and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook.
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses Japanese Yen (JPY) prospects, focusing on USD/JPY. Foley highlight that intervention by the Ministry of Finance (MoF) alone is unlikely to change the pair’s direction without improved Japanese fundamentals.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes the British Pound (GBP) remains heavy versus the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) after a mixed United Kingdom (UK) June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with headline inflation cooling but core and services measures still sticky.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $59.35 at the time of writing on Wednesday, up 0.94% on the day, as persistent safe-haven demand offsets the negative impact of rising inflation expectations.
Chris Turner at ING notes EUR/USD has held up relatively well despite energy price gains and wider natural gas prices.
The Euro (EUR) reversed earlier gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Wednesday, following hawkish comments by Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) policymakers. The pair, however, remains a few pips below 186.00 at the time of writing, with the five-week high of 186.19 at a short distance.
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