The USD/CHF bounces off weekly lows and meanders around 0.8080 after hitting a daily high of 0.8127, amid presumed intervention, with Nikkei reporting that the US Treasury Department has told currency market participants to prepare for additional intervention, following Thursday's action by Japanese
Gold price tumbles nearly 1.50% on Friday as the US Dollar recovers some ground after Japanese authorities intervened in the foreign exchange markets a day ago, driving the Greenback to a 30-day low before recovering, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The XAU/USD trades at $4,045.
Thursday's record Yen defence is the story everyone has written.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) struggles to hold its early recovery on Friday as the fallout from suspected Japanese intervention and the possibility of direct action by the United States (US) keep the Greenback under pressure.
Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Tom Barkin said on Friday that it remains uncertain whether the current level of interest rates is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation back to the Fed's 2% target, according to an interview with The Wall Street Journal.
EUR/USD trades near the 1.1530 area during Friday's American session, consolidating after a strong rally off intraday lows. The Euro found support from resilient Eurozone inflation data, although gains remain capped as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) rhetoric boosts the US Dollar.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades on the back foot on Friday as rising US Treasury yields outweigh support from a weaker US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $57.50, down 2% on the day and on track to close July in negative territory.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades just beneath 52,500 on Friday, up around 230 points and roughly 1.6% under the record set early in July.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades higher on Friday, rising 0.76% to around $83.30 after staging a sharp rebound from an intraday low below $80.00.
AUD/USD trades around the 0.7020 area during Friday's American session.
The Pound Sterling retreats some 0.02% on Friday as the Greenback stages a recovery following Thursday’s intervention day, which weakened the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a 30-day low. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3458, virtually unchanged.
USD/CHF trims part of its earlier gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to regain momentum following Thursday’s sharp sell-off, which was driven by suspected intervention by Japanese authorities to curb excessive weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY).
TD Securities’ Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that stronger-than-expected Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data support a brighter growth outlook but do not materially change their Bank of Canada (BoC) view.
ING’s Chris Turner describes USD/JPY’s rollercoaster, with a 3% drop on reported Japanese intervention followed by a near 2% rebound. He notes that coordinated Fed-Treasury involvement was key in January but now sees the story as having moved on.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5860 on Friday, down 0.33% on the day, as investors react to another deterioration in Chinese business activity.
Scotiabank’s FX team notes EUR/USD is drifting toward 1.15 after a Fed‑driven rally, with euro area CPI broadly in line with expectations and French data briefly lifting the Euro. Rate expectations are stabilizing, with about 42 bps of tightening priced by December.
GBP/JPY extends its slide on Friday as suspected intervention by Japanese authorities rattles the FX market and lifts the Yen across the board, pushing the cross further away from the multi-year high of 219.16 touched earlier this month.
USD/JPY trades sharply lower near the 159.50 area on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens following intervention by Japanese authorities and a relatively hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy announcement.
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Abbey Xu and Nathan Janzen note that Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.3% in May, with an advance estimate of 0.2% for June, indicating a solid second-quarter rebound after winter stagnation.
TD Securities economists Eli Nir and Oscar Munoz highlight that Q2 United States (US) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowed to 1.5% q/q AR, but underlying private domestic final purchases accelerated to 3.9%.
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke highlights that China’s July trade data will be key for base metals, especially Aluminium. Chinese Aluminium output in H1 exceeded the official cap, suggesting production may ease later this year.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that USD/JPY briefly fell about five big figures to 158.00 on suspected Japanese intervention before rebounding near 161.00 and then dropping again.
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song expect the Reserve Bank of India to keep the repo rate at 5.25% this week. They note that while June headline inflation rose on higher fuel prices, core inflation remains below target.
The Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as short-covering in the Greenback following the previous day’s sharp sell-off pushes EUR/USD back below 1.1500. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1488, easing from the six-week high of 1.1537 touched on Thursday.
UOB economist Ho Woei Chen highlights that China’s July CFLP PMIs slipped into contraction, with both manufacturing and non-manufacturing gauges signaling broad-based weakness in activity. The report notes particularly soft industrial output and services, while construction also declined.
USD/CAD trades around 1.4045 on Friday at the time of writing, recovering from a two-week low hit on Thursday at 1.3991.
TD Securities notes the Bank of Japan (BoJ) left its policy rate at 1% with an 8–1 vote, as Governor Ueda delivered notably hawkish remarks. Despite this, the Japanese Yen (JPY) reaction was muted, and the TD forecasts the next 25 bps hike only in December.
Canada’s economy cooled a tad in May. Indeed, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.3%, adding to the previous month's 0.6% expansion (revised from 0.5%), according to data released by Statistics Canada.
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes that gold briefly traded above USD 4,100 after the Fed meeting as markets pared back expectations of further rate hikes. Fed funds futures nevertheless continue to imply additional tightening, while persistent inflation is keeping those expectations alive.
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes following the previous day’s sharp sell-off, while hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations remain a key headwind for the non-yielding metal.
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