OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that South Korean Won (KRW) has extended its rally, with USD/KRW briefly touching 1380 on exporter and corporate US Dollar (USD) selling and a softer USD backdrop.
Dollar-Yen holds near 159.00 into the North American afternoon, marginally higher on the day inside a range of roughly three quarters of a Yen between the 158.50 area and a high short of 159.50.
The shared currency registers minimal losses of 0.13% versus the US Dollar as EUR/USD fails to surpass 1.1700, exacerbating the drop towards the 1.1660 area, despite retaining its current neutral-to-upward bias.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is holding firm against the US Dollar (USD) at the time of writing, with NZD/USD consolidating near its recent multi-month highs, just south of the 0.6000 handle.
Sterling holds just above 1.3600 into the North American afternoon, marginally lower on the day and inside a range of barely 35 pips, having printed a five-month high short of 1.3700 late last week.
The US Dollar (USD) is grinding higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) at the time of writing, with USD/JPY holding north of the 159.00 mark.
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng reviews Prime Minister Lawrence Wong’s National Day Rally 2026, highlighting policy themes rather than markets.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Bank of Thailand (BoT) to hold rates at 1.00%, leaving negative real yields that keep Thai Baht (THB) lagging. The Bank of Korea (BoK) is seen hiking again to 3.00%, supporting South Korean Won (KRW) as growth and inflation exceed targets.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) loses ground against the Greenback on Monday, even though economic data showed that inflation accelerated in the first half of August, while economic growth was softer than expected. Consequently, the USD/MXN pair trades with gains of over 0.25% to 16.96.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 99.00 mark for the first time since last Wednesday's plunge.
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao highlight South Korea’s strong export-led growth and large current-account surplus as key drivers of Korean Won strength against the Dollar.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe that the US Dollar (USD) is modestly stronger as markets start the week cautiously, with equities defensive and Treasuries firmer.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that RMB and CNH remain supported by softer USD dynamics and exporter conversion, but the People’s Bank of China is signalling a preference for gradual gains via its fixing.
Silver (XAG/USD) price reverses course on Monday, down 0.59% as buyers failed to push the white metal past $70.00, which exacerbated a reversal to the first support level at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $68.42. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $68.52, after peaking at $69.92.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann maintain a cautious stance on USD/SGD after Friday’s drop to 1.2682 and close near 1.2700.
Gold (XAU/USD) price resumes its advance on Monday and refreshes three-month highs at $4,681 as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent crosses the wires to reveal sanctions on Iran-linked entities, while investors await a speech by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday.
USD/CHF edges higher on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies after last week’s sell-off sparked by the US Treasury’s announcement to increase longer-dated bond buybacks. Market attention has now shifted back to US-Iran tensions after Washington unveiled a fresh sanctions campaign against Tehran.
The Euro (EUR) treads water against the Pound Sterling (GBP) on Monday, holding in the mid-0.8500s after struggling to sustain its push toward 0.8580 last week.
United States (US) Treasury Secretary Scotts said on Monday the US is launching "an economic onslaught against Iran's financial connections around the globe".
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the Japanese Yen (JPY) is slightly softer versus the US Dollar (USD), with USD/JPY trading between 158.00 support and resistance in the upper‑159s.
A currency whose central bank has held five times, prices no cut this year and still carries an increase by December should not be sitting at the bottom of its three-month range.
The same department that spent the morning telling the bond market it has roughly 950 billion Dollars available to hold long yields down will spend the afternoon announcing sanctions designed to tighten the oil chokepoint that drove those yields up.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) holds firm against the US Dollar (USD) at around 1.3640 on Monday, with traders eyeing speeches by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Iran’s sanctions later in the day and by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh at the Kansas City Fed Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Canada’s Q2 Real GDP to rebound strongly, outpacing the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) projection, with domestic demand and exports driving gains.
NZD/USD retreats to around 0.5960 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.25% on the day, after approaching the 0.6000 level on Friday.
AUD/USD is pulling back to the 0.7150 region, consolidating just below its recent multi-month highs. Traders are largely focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Minutes due later in the Asian session.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil trades on the back foot on Monday after gaining more than 5% last week. The pullback comes even as the broader backdrop remains largely unchanged, with Middle East tensions elevated and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz still heavily restricted.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that the British Pound (GBP) is flat versus the Dollar but outperforming G10 peers despite broad USD strength. With data light, attention turns to PM Burnham’s visit to Kiev and the October 28 budget.
Wells Fargo Economics, led by Tom Porcelli and colleagues, expects July consumer spending to rise modestly, with nominal Personal Income up 0.3% and spending up 0.2%. They highlight fading support from tax refunds, leaving demand more reliant on income growth.
Gold (XAU/USD) remains firmly bid on Monday after last week’s rally sparked by the US Treasury’s buyback announcement. However, buyers appear hesitant to push prices much higher as traders await key risk events later this week.
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