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Australian Dollar holds losses against Japanese Yen following China’s Trade Balance data

AUD/JPY halts its three-day winning streak, trading around 111.30 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross depreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) loses ground, driven by a surge in global safe-haven demand.

British Pound remains weaker as UK-US yields narrow, US Dollar strengthens

GBP/USD extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair depreciates as the British Pound (GBP) softens even as United Kingdom (UK) political risk fades.

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $62.20 in countdown to US NFP data

Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 1% higher to near $62.20 during the Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal rises ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for July, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.

New Zealand Dollar hangs near weekly low after China's trade data as USD bulls await NFP

The NZD/USD pair sticks to a negative bias for the second consecutive day and trades near the lower end of its weekly range, around the 0.5865 region, during the Asian session on Friday.

China’s July Trade Balance: Surplus widens more than expected to $112.5 billion

China's Trade Balance for July, in US Dollar (USD) terms, arrives at $112.5 billion, higher than the $107.0 billion expected, but lower than the prior release of 125.62 billion.

United States Dollar Index holds steady near 100.00 as bulls await US NFP amid Iran risks

The United States Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, consolidates during the Asian session on Friday as traders keenly await the release of the closely-watched US monthly jobs data.

Australian Dollar bulls remains on the sidelines as Iran risks support USD ahead of US NFP

The AUD/USD pair steadies around the 0.7030-0.7025 region during the Asian session on Friday as traders opt to wait for the release of the closely watched US monthly employment details before placing fresh directional bets.

Euro weakens against US Dollar amid Middle East tensions

EUR/USD extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1520 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency pair faces downward pressure as the US Dollar (USD) gains strength, propelled by renewed safe-haven demand among global investors.

Gold consolidates below recent highs as USD strength and Fed hike bets cap ahead of US NFP

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates below $4,250 during the Asian session on Friday and, for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's retracement slide from its highest level since June 18.

Canadian Dollar weakens as safe-haven demand supports US Dollar

USD/CAD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.4020 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair continues to gain ground as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from revived safe-haven demand.

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7904 vs. 6.7895 previous

On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7904 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.7895 and 6.7548 Reuters estimate.

Japanese Yen hangs near weekly low after weak spending data as USD bulls await US NFP

The USD/JPY pair is seen consolidating this week's solid recovery gains from the 155.25-155.20 region, the lowest since May, touched in the aftermath of a joint US-Japan intervention, and holds steady near the weekly top.

WTI holds firm near $77.50 as escalating Middle East tensions threaten oil supply routes

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains steady after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $77.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.

Chinese Yuan: Bullish tone with upside tests against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CNH is trading with a soft underlying tone, with scope for the Dollar to test support levels near 6.7420 in the short term, while a sustained break lower is seen as unlikely.

South Korean Won: Stable Fed and AI demand support KRW against US Dollar – ING

ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song highlight a sharp 8% drop in USD/KRW earlier in the second quarter, driven by temporary flows such as Hynix ADR repatriation and National Pension Service hedging adjustments, alongside a hawkish Bank of Korea (BoK) hike.

Singapore Dollar: Upside risk capped against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD stayed broadly flat on Wednesday, trading between 1.2804 and 1.2825 and closing at 1.2810.

Philippine Peso: Inflation and politics weigh on PHP against US Dollar – ING

ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song warn that upside inflation risks are re-emerging for the Philippine Peso (PHP), driven by recovering Oil prices and expectations of a strong El Niño that could spark a food-price shock. Rising global rice and fertiliser prices add to pressures.

Fed’s Musalem backs rate hikes, says inflation remains too high

The St. Louis Fed President, Alberto Musalem, stressed that “inflation is too high” and that it’s “critical” that monetary policy focuses on bringing down inflation.

Mexican Peso strengthens as Banxico hold extends 10-day rally

The Mexican peso extends its rally to 10 straight days, gaining over 0.12% on Thursday after the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) left interest rates unchanged. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN exotic pair trades at 17.21, after reaching a daily high of 17.26.

Indonesia: Headline GDP strength, mixed momentum – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economist Kunal Kundu notes Indonesia’s 2Q26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 5.3% year-on-year, beating the bank’s 5.1% forecast, but warns the composition is less reassuring.

New Zealand Dollar drops amid a firmer US Dollar

NZD/USD trades lower near the 0.5900 level at the time of writing, with no New Zealand catalyst behind the move. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.26% near the 100.00 level, and the Kiwi is simply on the wrong side of it.

Forex Today: US Dollar firms ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls as Hormuz risk returns

The US Dollar (USD) posted gains against every major currency on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) up 0.26% near the 100.00 level as Oil rallied 3% on the reported Strait of Hormuz vessel ban, while Gold and Silver declined.

Thailand: Supply-led pressures and prolonged hold for BoT – UOB

UOB Global Economics & Markets Research, led by economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya, analyzes Thailand’s July CPI undershoot driven by lower fuel prices while core inflation edges higher.

Indonesian Rupiah: Policy uncertainty weighs on IDR against US Dollar – ING

ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song flag renewed policy uncertainty for the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) after the surprise resignation of Bank Indonesia’s (BI) governor, just as sentiment toward Indonesian assets was improving.

South Korean Won: Flow reversal case builds – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategist Kiyong Seong turns tactically constructive on USD/KRW, arguing that recent Won strength has been driven by late-stage flow factors rather than fundamentals.

British Pound: Sentiment offsets softer spreads – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s team notes the Pound is fractionally weaker versus the Dollar, with fundamentals less supportive as yield spreads soften. However, sentiment is improving as markets fade earlier political concerns following PM Burnham’s arrival and stronger-than-expected construction PMI.

Banxico keeps interest rates unchanged at 6.50% as expected

The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) held rates unchanged at 6.50% for the third consecutive meeting on Thursday in a unanimous decision, as expected by most analysts, after ending its easing cycle in May.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls retake 200-day SMA amid recovery

The USD/JPY advances by some 0.41%, clearing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 158.06, as the Greenback recovers some ground following two days of intervention in the FX markets by US and Japanese authorities.

Thai Baht: Supply risks and FX sensitivities – UOB

UOB’s economists highlight that Thailand’s inflation outlook is shaped by supply-side factors and external variables such as Oil and USD/THB.

WTI climbs as Iran-Oman agreement details dampen optimism over Oil flows

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil rebounds on Thursday as traders react to details of the proposed Iran-Oman agreement on the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $76.50 per barrel, up nearly 2.80% on the day.

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