USD/MXN trades around 17.40 on Tuesday, posting modest losses for a third consecutive session. The US Dollar (USD) retains a broadly firm tone despite softer-than-expected United States (US) data, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke reports that Silver has fallen from USD 70 to USD 57.50 per troy ounce and that the bank has lowered its forecasts, now seeing USD 67 by year-end and USD 80 by end‑2027.
USD/JPY trades slightly higher near the 163.80 area on Tuesday, remaining close to multi-decade highs as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to attract demand. Softer United States (US) consumer confidence data limited the US Dollar’s advance, although the pair maintained its upward bias.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) steadies against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as the Greenback gives up its early gains, with traders turning cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades just short of 52,900 on Tuesday, higher by close to 700 points and 1.3%, roughly 450 points beneath the record it set in the first week of July. Taken alone, that reads as a broad risk rally.
The Euro is on track for its eighth gain in nine sessions against the Pound, and the explanation that would normally cover a run of that length is not available.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $57.40 on Tuesday at the time of writing, down 1.7% on the day. The white metal is under pressure as the US Dollar (USD) loses some strength and investors reduce their exposure to safe-haven assets ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy decision.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil extends its decline on Tuesday after falling 9% the previous day following a pause in attacks between the United States and Iran. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $77.90, down nearly 4% on the day.
The Greenback, when tracked by the US Dollar Index (DXY), abandons the area of monthly peaks and recedes toward the 101.30 zone on turnaround Tuesday.
EUR/USD trades higher near the 1.1400 area on Tuesday, gaining around 0.3% as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer United States (US) consumer-confidence data. The US Dollar Index falls toward 101.30, helping the Euro extend its recovery.
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch and Thu Lan Nguyen note that the Gold price has dropped nearly 30% from its January record as higher real yields and hawkish Federal Reserve expectations weigh on the metal.
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has sold off sharply as US–Iran strikes pause and President Trump signals a “good chance” of a deal. They stress that flows through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, as well as Black Sea exports, remain critical.
AUD/USD trades lower near the 0.6970 area on Tuesday, falling around 0.3% as the Australian Dollar (AUD) comes under pressure despite hawkish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock.
The Pound trades near 1.3300 in the New York morning, effectively flat on a session that has run barely 30 pips between a floor a shade above 1.3250 and a ceiling fractionally above the 1.3300 handle.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report GBP/USD is extending its bearish reversal toward early-July levels as markets scale back Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations. September pricing has been cut and cumulative hikes by December reduced.
Gold trades near $4,020 in the Tuesday New York morning, down roughly 1.4% on a session that started near $4,075 and never built a bid.
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock signaled a possible rate hike at the August 10–11 meeting, stressing inflation is still too high and productivity weak.
USD/CAD trades near 1.4105 on Tuesday at the time of writing, down 0.14% on the day, though the pair remains close to its recent highs as traders refrain from taking aggressive positions ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
ING’s Padhraic Garvey expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to leave rates unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with odds seen around 60:40 for no move.
EUR/USD struggles for direction on Tuesday as traders avoid taking directional positions ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate decision on Wednesday while closely monitoring US-Iran developments.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight a softer Euro (EUR), with EUR/USD drifting toward the mid-1.13s and levels last seen in May 2025.
US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in July, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 90.8 from June’s 92.2 (revised from 91.2).
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is balancing stickier-than-expected domestic inflation against broader global market volatility.
TD Securities strategists argue that the Swiss Franc’s (CHF) underperformance since the February 2026 Iran shock reflects both low-yield carry dynamics and sensitivity to Gold prices.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that Australian Dollar (AUD) is underperforming after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock balanced a hawkish bias with a message of patience, noting easing domestic demand and labour conditions.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD is trading near fair value around 1.4115, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) constrained by wide short-term rate differentials versus the Dollar.
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses British Pound (GBP) prospects around UK welfare reform, shifting voter polls and the upcoming Bank of England (BoE) decision. Foley highlights how PM Burnham’s fiscal choices and intra-Labour tensions could affect gilts and the Pound.
In an interview with Fox News, US President Donald Trump said that Pickaxe Mountain, an Iranian underground nuclear site, is not a big problem, adding that the United States (US) is now in a very strong position with Iran.
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight that Copper has extended its July gains as easing Middle East tensions lift sentiment. They point to tight physical conditions, low inventories and firm Chinese import demand as key supports.
Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Tuesday, pressured by a firmer US Dollar (USD), even as Oil prices extend their pullback on hopes of an end to the US-Iran war.
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