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Bond selloff drives US benchmark beyond 5%; stocks rattled

Morgan Stanley turns more hawkish, forecasts two Fed hikes and ECB move

UK payrolls fall 26,000 in August as jobs market weakens ahead of BOE

LSL Property Services reports 3% revenue growth in first half

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Lake Energy Secures $80 Million for U.S. Renewable Energy Expansion

Australian Dollar hangs near three-week low, above 0.7100 as USD stands firm ahead of Fed

The AUD/USD pair sticks to a negative bias for the second consecutive day and trades around the 0.7120 region during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.

Dow Jones futures fall as traders brace for Fed rate decision

Dow Jones futures fall by 0.56% to trade near 52,150 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.42% to trade around 7,590, while Nasdaq 100 futures drop by 0.37% to trade near 29,050.

Indian Rupee: RBI seen starting mini hiking cycle - Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to respond to India’s broadening inflation pressures with a new mini rate-hike cycle. Kundu projects a 25bp hike in October, followed by two similar moves in December and February.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Resistance at 155.20 likely to test bulls

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is showing a moderately softer tone against the US Dollar (USD) this week, with all eyes on the monetary policy decisions bu¡y the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), due later this week.

US Dollar: Rising yields support risk-off tone – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) has strengthened ahead of the FOMC meeting as Fed tightening expectations are repriced higher. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered to levels seen before the August Treasury buyback announcement, with US yields rising sharply.

Euro declines against Canadian Dollar despite ECB rate hike hopes

EUR/CAD extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 1.6040 during European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross depreciates as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) gains support from rising crude oil prices.

5.03%: US 10-year Treasury Yields hit fresh highs in over 19 years

United States (US) 10-year Treasury Yields have hit a fresh high of 5.03%, the level never seen in a little over 19 years. Higher yields on US bonds indicate rising interest obligations for the government, which generally leads to significant bond-buying operations by the administration.

Euro: 1.150 target in focus against US Dollar – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole says EUR/USD is trading close to its short-term fair value, while expectations for improving German ZEW data and the lingering impact of last week’s hawkish ECB hike offer some support to the Euro.

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY eyes 99.80 confluence hurdle as focus remains on Fed

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, maintains a positive bias for the fourth straight day on Tuesday and climbs back closer to a nearly two-week high, which it touched the previous day.

Oil: Supply risks and structural tightness – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton highlights rising Oil market stress as geopolitical risks escalate. He notes higher crude prices, widening Brent spreads and concerns over the end of US Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases.

Euro trims some losses as British Pound falls following UK employment data

The Euro (EUR) posts minor gains on Tuesday as the British Pound (GBP) falls after mixed UK employment data.

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains under pressure near $63 ahead of Fed’s policy decision

Silver price (XAG/USD) is marginally lower to near $63.14 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The white metal remains under pressure as investors shift their focus to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Gold: Fed risk keeps bullion vulnerable – ING

ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say Gold has slipped as higher Oil prices stoke inflation concerns and reinforce expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike, lifting Treasury yields and the US Dollar.

British Pound: Fragile labour market clouds BoE hikes - Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that rising Oil prices have sharply lifted UK rate expectations, with markets now discounting four Bank of England hikes by mid-2027 versus just over one in June.

Forex Today: US Dollar strengthens on hotter US inflation, rising Fed hike expectations

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 15:

Equities: AI slowdown fears hit chip stocks – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid reports that US equities weakened as AI slowdown headlines triggered a sharp selloff in semiconductor names, dragging the broader S&P 500 lower.

Japanese Yen: Higher Q4 range projected – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park and Nicholas Chia expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to deliver a 25bps rate hike in September but maintain a gradual normalisation path.

British Pound pushes against five-week lows following mixed UK employment data

The British Pound (GBP) extends losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the GBP/USD pair hovering a few pips above five-week lows near 1.3465 at the London session opening times.

Japan’s Katayama says will scrutinise budget requests for next fiscal year strictly going forward

Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday that the official will not rely on deficit-covering bonds to fund the tax cut. Katayama added that government will scrutinise budget requests for next fiscal year strictly going forward.

ECB policymakers agree: Inflation in Eurozone to remain high amid energy crisis

The Euro (EUR) is down 0.12% at around 1.1535 against the US Dollar (USD) in the early European trading session on Tuesday.

Indian Rupee: RBI support tempers depreciation risks versus US Dollar - MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan assesses Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) June 2026 FX measures and their impact on the Indian Rupee and USD/INR. He notes a large build-up of FX reserves and liquidity, and argues these measures have reduced tail risks of sharp INR depreciation.

British Pound drops against Japanese Yen after UK labor market data

The British Pound (GBP) faces slight selling pressure against the Japanese Yen (JPY), dropping to near 208.60 on Tuesday after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for three months ending July.

Oil: Saudi pipeline outage supports prices – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices have surged as the Saudi East–West pipeline shutdown tightens supply and keeps ICE Brent near recent resistance around $110/bbl.

4.9%: United Kingdom Unemployment Rate stays unchanged in its three months to July

The United Kingdom’s (UK) ILO Unemployment Rate stayed at 4.9% in the three months to July after reporting 4.9% in the previous reading, data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday. The data came in below the market consensus of 5.0%.

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Tests 50-day EMA barrier amid potential bullish breakout

USD/CAD continues its winning streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 1.3910 during Asian hours on Tuesday.

Indian Rupee plunges again as US Treasury Yields hit 5%

The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its previous week’s downfall against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the USD/INR rising above 95.90 in the opening session.

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Flatlines above 110.00, bearish outlook persists

The AUD/JPY cross trades on a flat note around 110.20 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. Markets might turn cautious ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision later on Friday. 

WTI Price Forecast: Retakes $99.00 as bulls eye further gains amid Middle East jitters

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts fresh buyers following the previous day's two-way price swings and climbs back above the $99.00 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday.

Indonesian Rupiah weakens amid stronger US Dollar, higher oil prices

USD/IDR extends its gains for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 17,730 during  Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair rises as the US Dollar (USD) receives support from rising expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week.

Gold remains vulnerable near one-month low, below $4,300 amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold (XAU/USD) trades with a mild negative bias below the $4,300 mark heading into the European session on Tuesday and remains close to an over one-month low, which it touched the previous day.

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